Feature 9 · Reliability AI · Well B-12
Representative SRP rod-string failure model combining load, impact, rod floating, speed, fluid condition and operating history.
Closed-loop AI workflow
Rod failure risk
AI-calculated from current representative well and SRP telemetry.
MODEL STATUS
HIGH
HIGH failure probability
BEFORE OPTIMIZATION
72%
Synthetic / model-based estimate
AFTER OPTIMIZATION
31%
Model / simulation estimate only
7 DAYS
72%
Immediate operating exposure
14 DAYS
79%
Fatigue accumulation forecast
30 DAYS
86%
Planning horizon
Rod stress
87%Peak rod load
92%Impact loading
78%Stroke / SPM
2.55 m / 5.8VFD
43 HzCrude viscosity
690 cPRelative share of modeled risk exposure
High rod stress
Rod-string stress is above the representative operating envelope.
Peak rod load
Peak polished-rod load is approaching the modeled design limit.
Impact loading
Dynamic load reversals are increasing fatigue accumulation.
High SPM
Current speed profile is above the recommended SRP setting.
High viscosity + reservoir cooling
Cooling and viscosity increase lifting resistance.
Operating history
Recent high-load runtime elevates cumulative fatigue exposure.
Current SRP operating forecast across the maintenance planning window.
Actions ranked to lower fatigue and rod-float exposure.
Reduce SPM from 5.8 to 4.9 and constrain VFD to 41 Hz to lower modeled impact loading.
Verify pump fillage on the next dynamometer card; investigate fluid pound if fillage remains low.
Schedule rod-string visual and connection inspection within the next 48 hours.
The risk model is elevated because polished-rod load, impact loading and rod-floating likelihood are simultaneously high. Declining temperature and higher viscosity amplify the load response, while the recent operating history indicates sustained fatigue exposure. All outputs are representative demo data for SIH prototype presentation.